Nathan Beighle
April 20, 2024 10:36 am ET
The Los Angeles Dodgers (12-10) welcome the New York Mets (11-8) to Dodger Stadium Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0
The Mets are on a 5-game streak following Friday’s 9-4 victory as +175 underdogs in the opener. SS Francisco Lindor broke a 4-4 tie with a 2-run homer in the top of the seventh inning. New York is 5-2 on the road and 11-8 against the spread (ATS) this season.
The Dodgers have struggled as of late, losing 4 of their last 5 games, all of which have been at home. Plus, they were favorites in each contest, including heavy chalk at -420 in a 6-4 loss to the Washington Nationals. They’ve actually been favored in all 22 games they’ve played this season. They’ve lost 2 straight series yet are still 8-6 straight up at home in 2024. Los Angeles is 9-13 ATS.
Mets at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Jose Butto vs. RHP Gavin Stone
Butto (0-0, 0.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.75 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 12 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2-1 home win over Kansas City Royals Sunday
- Never faced Dodgers before
- Mets are 2-0 in his starts
Stone (1-1, 6.14 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 14 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-2 home win over San Diego Padres April 13
- Never faced Mets before
- Dodgers are 2-1 in his 3 starts this season
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Mets at Dodgers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +154 (bet $100 to win $154) | Dodgers -184 (bet $184 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-134) | Dodgers -1.5 (+112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Mets 5
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline on both sides is playable here, but the value is on the Mets’ spread. That’s the preferred play in his game.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS +1.5 (-134).
New York has been on fire as of late, winning 4 straight games by 2 runs or more. The Mets torched the Dodgers Friday as well, scoring 9 for the second consecutive game. The Mets have allowed a combined 2 runs in Butto’s starts as well.
The Dodgers are reeling and, as mentioned, have lost 4 of their last 5. They still have a talented lineup; however, they are 1-2 ATS in Stone’s 3 starts this season. Los Angeles is just 5-9 ATS as home.
Take METS +1.5 (-134).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-105).
The Mets have scored 6 or more in 6 of their last 8 games. They have consistently been strong offensively over the past 2 weeks and are 5-3 O/U since April 11. New York is 10-9 O/U on the season.
The Dodgers are 13-8-1 and have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 games. Los Angeles is 9-4-1 O/U at home. Considering these trends, back OVER 9.5 (-105).
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