New York Mets at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The New York Mets (24-35) visit the Washington Nationals (27-31) on Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mets won 2023 season series 7-6

The Mets have lost back-to-back games after falling 5-4 against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday and failing to cover as -102 home favorites. LF Brandon Nimmoled the way on offense with 2 RBIs while LHPJake Diekmanallowed 2 ER in 1/3 innings to take the loss.

The Nationals snapped a 2-game losing streak on Sunday with a 5-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians to cover as +116 road underdogs. CF Lane Thomasand DHJoey Meneseseach had 2 RBIs while RHPJake Irvinallowed 2 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Mets at Nationals projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Megill (0-2, 1.69 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 3.38 BB/9 and 11.25 K/9 in 16 IP.

• Mets are 0-3 in his last 3 starts
• Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each start
• Has 20 strikeouts and 6 walks in 16 IP

Gore (4-4, 2.91 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.61 BB/9 and 11.05 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.

• Nationals are 5-6 in his his 11 starts, including wins in his last 2 outings
• Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in all but 2 starts this season.
• Has allowed 19 ER and 5 HR while striking out 72 and walking 17

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Mets at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Nationals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Nationals -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mets at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Mets 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The profit is better on the Nationals (-125) run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS -1.5 (+165).

Washington is 6-4 in its last 10 games and is returning home for the 1st time in 7 games. In each of its last 12 wins, it has won by 2 or more runs. The Mets have struggled recently and are 3-7 in their last 10 games including 2-5 in their last 7. They have allowed 9 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 overall and have lost by 2 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 losses.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Mets have 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games and will see Megill on the mound, who has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each of his 3 starts.

The Nationals have hit the Under in 3 of their last 4 including back-to-back games and have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 10 while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10. They will see Gore on the mound who has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 9 of his 11 starts this season.

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